Confidently Practice Online with Free FRM-Part-2 Exam Cram

If the unconditional default probability of a Ba-rated bond during Year 3 is 1.914% and the probability of survival through Year 2 is 97.413%, the probability of a default during Year 3, conditional on no earlier default, is closest to:

In which of the New Initiative Risk Assessment Process (NIRAP) business case topics would you most likely find an analysis of project costs and funding arrangements?

The head of the fixed-income department of a bank asks a risk analyst to review anoutstanding bond issued by Company GRN, a livestock producer. The bondcurrently trades at a spread of 250 bps over the risk-free interest rate and has arecovery rate of 75%. Senior management of the bank has expressed concernabout the slowdown in business activities in the livestock industry, which isexpected to last for the next 3 years. The analyst applies the constant hazard rateprocess in estimating default probability and assumes that, under a stressed marketscenario, the bond would trade at a spread of 480 bps over the risk-free interest ratecurve, and its recovery rate would decrease to 40%. Assuming the stress scenarioprevails, what would be the correct estimate of the probability that Company GRNwould not default on its bond over the next 3 years?

An operational risk analyst at a large bank is preparing a year-end report of thebank’s operational loss events. The analyst uses the Basel operational risktaxonomy to classify different events into Level 1, Level 2, and Level 3. As part ofthis process, the analyst considers the following four events that occurred during the year:• A sales representative in the lending department forged a senior manager’ssignature to approve an application for a large commercial loan that defaulted.• The bank failed to deliver sufficient collateral to support a swap position,which was later terminated at a loss.• Several managers in the bank’s wealth management group were found tohave misused confidential customer information by sharing this informationwith other employees and a third-party vendor representative.• Some personal customer information was stolen in a cyber-attack in whichan external hacker broke into a database stored in the cloud.In classifying the four events and considering the Basel taxonomy in general, whichof the following actions would be most appropriate for the analyst to take?

A bank is assessing the impact of a new transaction on CVA and DVA. If the new transaction is negatively correlated to existing transactions, the impact will likely be a(n):